0 like 0 dislike
0 like 0 dislike
How likely is to hit all the results of FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022?

1 Answer

0 like 0 dislike
0 like 0 dislike
To start with, you have to first correctly guess all of the groups;  you can't get all matches correct if you don't know which matches those are.  So that's not super likely.  There are 32! / (4!^(8)8!) ways to draw the groups (assuming we don't care whether a given 4 teams are in group A or B or C etc.)   So already that's a lot.  1 chance in 5.6 x 10^19 to get that correct.

And now you have to start guessing the outcomes correctly.   There are 48 group stage matches so that could be (1/3)^(48) possible outcomes.   So that's another 10^23  outcomes.   

The knockout stage participants are not critically dependent on the specific results of each group-stage match, but it's highly correlated.  So you have 16 teams in the knockout and those are win or lose, so you have (1/2)^15 chance of getting all those right.  That's much much easier than the other two stages.

If you wanted to have this remain in the realm of possibility, just do a knockout stage prediction.  That's already extremely unlikely, whereas the others are completely impossible from a practical standpont.

Related questions

0 like 0 dislike
0 like 0 dislike
1 answer
MSR_Tlse asked Jun 21, 2022
Are the S3/S4 Edexcel Further Maths units useful to become an actuary? Topics include sampling, unbiased and biased estimators, confidence intervals and significance test...
MSR_Tlse asked Jun 21, 2022
0 like 0 dislike
0 like 0 dislike
2 answers
driveshift asked Jun 21, 2022
I did this all wrong but got the right answer? Took half of .075, used d=(1+i)/i to get discount rate, and just added. Decimal was off, but i got the numbers right. Luck?...
driveshift asked Jun 21, 2022
0 like 0 dislike
0 like 0 dislike
4 answers
GCFtalk asked Jun 21, 2022
For GHDP, if you had to choose one of the below study material packages.
GCFtalk asked Jun 21, 2022
by GCFtalk
0 like 0 dislike
0 like 0 dislike
3 answers
piyu_logy asked Jun 21, 2022
Are insurers prepared to handle the legalization of psilocybin?
piyu_logy asked Jun 21, 2022
0 like 0 dislike
0 like 0 dislike
0 answers
stefchura asked Jun 21, 2022
Introduction to the Theory of Statistics - Mood, Graybill, and Boes
stefchura asked Jun 21, 2022

33.4k questions

135k answers

0 comments

33.7k users

OhhAskMe is a math solving hub where high school and university students ask and answer loads of math questions, discuss the latest in math, and share their knowledge. It’s 100% free!